Existential Life-Risk Assessment Measure

An Existential Life-Risk Assessment Measure is a risk assessment measure that is a life-threatening probability measure that quantifies existential threat severity.

• AKA: Existential Risk Measure, Life-Threatening Risk Measure, Survival Threat Assessment.
• Context:
  • It can typically quantify Extinction Risk Probability through catastrophic scenario modeling.
  • It can typically evaluate Civilization Collapse Risk through systemic failure analysis.
  • It can typically assess Species Survival Threats through existential hazard identification.
  • It can typically measure Irreversible Harm Potential through permanent damage assessment.
  • It can typically calculate Human Extinction Timelines through risk trajectory projection.
  • ...
  • It can often incorporate Multiple Risk Sources including natural existential threats and anthropogenic existential threats.
  • It can often utilize Probabilistic Risk Models for uncertainty quantification.
  • It can often employ Expert Elicitation Methods for risk consensus building.
  • It can often integrate Cascade Effect Analysis for compound risk assessment.
  • ...
  • It can range from being a Near-Term Existential Life-Risk Assessment Measure to being a Long-Term Existential Life-Risk Assessment Measure, depending on its existential timeline horizon.
  • It can range from being a Single-Factor Existential Life-Risk Assessment Measure to being a Multi-Factor Existential Life-Risk Assessment Measure, depending on its existential threat complexity.
  • ...
  • It can inform Global Catastrophic Risk Policy through priority risk identification.
  • It can guide Existential Risk Mitigation Strategy through intervention effectiveness analysis.
  • It can support Long-Term Future Planning through survival probability estimation.
  • It can facilitate International Risk Coordination through standardized threat assessment.
  • It can enable Resource Prioritization Decisions for existential risk reduction efforts.
  • ...
• Example(s):
  • Technology-Based Existential Life-Risk Assessment Measures, such as:
    • AI Existential Life-Risk Assessment Measures, such as:
      • P-Doom Measure, quantifying AI-induced existential threat probability.
      • AGI Safety Assessment Measure, evaluating artificial general intelligence existential risk.
    • Biotechnology Existential Life-Risk Assessment Measures, such as:
      • Pandemic Risk Assessment, measuring engineered pathogen existential threat.
      • Synthetic Biology Risk Measure, assessing bioengineering catastrophe probability.
  • Natural Existential Life-Risk Assessment Measures, such as:
    • Asteroid Impact Risk Measure, calculating celestial collision existential probability.
    • Supervolcanic Eruption Risk Assessment, evaluating geological existential threat.
  • Climate Existential Life-Risk Assessment Measures, such as:
    • Runaway Climate Change Risk Measure, assessing irreversible warming probability.
    • Ecosystem Collapse Risk Assessment, measuring biosphere failure threat.
  • ...
• Counter-Example(s):
  • Individual Mortality Risk Measures, which assess personal death probability rather than species extinction risk.
  • Local Disaster Risk Assessments, which evaluate regional threats without existential implications.
  • Reversible Risk Measures, which quantify temporary harm potential rather than permanent extinction threats.
• See: Existential Risk, Global Catastrophic Risk, Risk Assessment Measure, P-Doom Measure.

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