Narrow AI Explosion Period

An Narrow AI Explosion Period is an explosion period within a Narrow AI emergence period for the explosion of narrow AIs (when many narrow AI systems are in use).

• Context:
  • It can (typically) be preceded by a Narrow AI Expansion Period.
  • It can (typically) be associated with the period (2018 - ~2030).
  • It can (typically) be marked by a wide adoption of Narrow AI Systems across various industries and enhancing operational efficiencies.
  • It can associated with a AGI Emergence Period.
  • It can involve the integration of Narrow AI in consumer technologies, like smartphones, smart home devices, and automotive systems.
  • It can occur when there are many TeraFLOP Systems (for AI inference task)s.
  • ...
• Example(s):
  • …
• Counter-Example(s):
  • a Human Emergence Period.
  • a Plant Emergence Period (followed by the great oxygenation extinction).
  • an Organic Life Emergence Period.
• See: Pre-Cambrian Period, TOP-500 Projections.

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References

2024

• GPT-4
  • Narrow AI Expansion Period (2000s - Present):
    • It sees Narrow AI being increasingly integrated into a wide range of industries and applications.
    • It involves Narrow AI systems enhancing efficiency and accuracy in specific tasks like data analysis, voice recognition, and image processing.
    • It marks the proliferation of Narrow AI in everyday technology, from smartphones to automotive systems.
    • It raises questions about the impact on employment and the nature of work as Narrow AI automates specific tasks.
  • Narrow AI Explosion Period (2010s - Future):
    • It represents a phase where Narrow AI applications rapidly diversify and improve in performance.
    • It could lead to the emergence of more sophisticated Narrow AI systems capable of handling complex, multi-step tasks within their defined scope.
    • It is characterized by a significant increase in the adoption and reliance on Narrow AI technologies across all sectors.
    • It poses ethical and regulatory challenges as Narrow AI becomes more deeply embedded in critical systems and processes.

2022

• https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2022/12/14/2574140/0/en/Generative-AI-Market-Size-Will-Achieve-USD-110-8-Billion-by-2030-growing-at-34-3-CAGR-Exclusive-Report-by-Acumen-Research-and-Consulting.html
  • QUOTE: The Global Generative AI Market Size accounted for USD 7.9 Billion in 2021 and is projected to occupy a market size of USD 110.8 Billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 34.3% from 2022 to 2030.