Superintelligence Explosion Period Forecasting Task

Context:
- It can predict when the Superintelligence Explosion Period will occur.
- It can predict the precursors.
- It can involve studying the current trajectory of AI Development and advancements in Computational Power.
- It can be associated to Artificial General Intelligence Forecasting (of AGI).
- ...
Example(s):
- Ray Kurzweil's prediction that the Technological Singularity will occur around 2045.
- Futurists estimating the timeframe based on Recursive Self-Improvement theories.
- ...
Counter-Example(s):
- Chatbot User Forecasting.
- LLM Capability Forecasting.
See: AI Safety, Extraterrestrial Superintelligence Explosion Period, Recursive Self-Improvement.

References

(Kurzweil, 2005) ⇒ Ray Kurzweil. (2005). "The Singularity Is Near." Penguin Books.

(Vinge, 1993) ⇒ Vernor Vinge. (1993). "The Coming Technological Singularity: How to Survive in the Post-Human Era", in Vision-21: Interdisciplinary Science and Engineering in the Era of Cyberspace, G. A. Landis, ed., NASA Publication CP-10129.