2014 UtilizingTemporalPatternsforEst

• (Ghalwash et al., 2014) ⇒ Mohamed F. Ghalwash, Vladan Radosavljevic, and Zoran Obradovic. (2014). “Utilizing Temporal Patterns for Estimating Uncertainty in Interpretable Early Decision Making.” In: Proceedings of the 20th ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining (KDD-2014) Journal. ISBN:978-1-4503-2956-9 doi:10.1145/2623330.2623694

Subject Headings:

Cited By

• http://scholar.google.com/scholar?q=%222014%22+Utilizing+Temporal+Patterns+for+Estimating+Uncertainty+in+Interpretable+Early+Decision+Making
• http://dl.acm.org/citation.cfm?id=2623330.2623694&preflayout=flat#citedby

Quotes

Author Keywords

• Database applications; design methodology; earliness; interpretability; reliability; time series; uncertainty

Abstract

Early classification of time series is prevalent in many time-sensitive applications such as, but not limited to, early warning of disease outcome and early warning of crisis in stock market. \textcolor{black}{ For example, } early diagnosis allows physicians to design appropriate therapeutic strategies at early stages of diseases. However, practical adaptation of early classification of time series requires an easy to understand explanation (interpretability) and a measure of confidence of the prediction results (uncertainty estimates). These two aspects were not jointly addressed in previous time series early classification studies, such that a difficult choice of selecting one of these aspects is required. In this study, we propose a simple and yet effective method to provide uncertainty estimates for an interpretable early classification method. The question we address here is " how to provide estimates of uncertainty in regard to interpretable early prediction. " In our extensive evaluation on twenty time series datasets we showed that the proposed method has several advantages over the state-of-the-art method that provides reliability estimates in early classification. Namely, the proposed method is more effective than the state-of-the-art method, is simple to implement, and provides interpretable results.

References

;

	Author	volume	Date Value	title	type	journal	titleUrl	doi	note	year
2014 UtilizingTemporalPatternsforEst	Mohamed F. Ghalwash Vladan Radosavljevic Zoran Obradovic			Utilizing Temporal Patterns for Estimating Uncertainty in Interpretable Early Decision Making				10.1145/2623330.2623694		2014