2025 AI2027
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- (Kokotajlo et al., 2025) ⇒ Daniel Kokotajlo, Scott Alexander, Thomas Larsen, Eli Lifland, and Romeo Dean. (2025). “AI 2027.”
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Abstract
We predict that the impact of superhuman AI over the next decade will be enormous, exceeding that of the Industrial Revolution.
We wrote a scenario that represents our best guess about what that might look like.1 It’s informed by trend extrapolations, wargames, expert feedback, experience at OpenAI, and previous forecasting successes.2
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| Author | volume | Date Value | title | type | journal | titleUrl | doi | note | year | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 AI2027 | Daniel Kokotajlo Scott Alexander Thomas Larsen Eli Lifland Romeo Dean | AI 2027 | 2025 |