Affirming Evidence
Jump to navigation
Jump to search
An Affirming Evidence is an evidence item that supports a reasoned argument.
- AKA: Confirmatory, Supporting Evidence.
- …
- Example(s):
- “Socrates was a human.”
- Counter-Example(s):
- See: Confirmation, Strengthening Evidence, Premise.
References
1979
- (Lord et al., 1979) ⇒ Charles G. Lord, Lee Ross, and Mark R. Lepper. (1979). “Biased Assimilation and Attitude Polarization: The Effects of Prior Theories on Subsequently Considered Evidence..” In: Journal of personality and social psychology, 37(11). doi:10.1037/0022-3514.37.11.2098
- QUOTE: People who hold strong opinions on complex social issues are likely to examine relevant empirical evidence in a biased manner. They are apt to accept "confirming" evidence at face value while subjecting "disconfirming" evidence to critical evaluation, and, as a result, draw undue support for their initial positions from mixed or random empirical findings. Thus, the result of exposing contending factions in a social dispute to an identical body of relevant empirical evidence may be not a narrowing of disagreement but rather an increase in polarization. To test these assumptions, 48 undergraduates supporting and opposing capital punishment were exposed to 2 purported studies, one seemingly confirming and one seemingly disconfirming their existing beliefs about the deterrent efficacy of the death penalty.
1960
- (Wason, 1960) ⇒ Peter C. Wason. (1960). “On the Failure to Eliminate Hypotheses in a Conceptual Task." Quarterly journal of experimental psychology 12, no. 3 doi:10.1080/17470216008416717
- QUOTE: This investigation examines the extent to which intelligent young adults seek (i) confirming evidence alone (enumerative induction) or (ii) confirming and discontinuing evidence (eliminative induction), in order to draw conclusions in a simple conceptual task. The experiment is designed so that use of confirming evidence alone will almost certainly lead to erroneous conclusions because (i) the correct concept is entailed by many more obvious ones, and (ii) the universe of possible instances (numbers) is infinite.
Six out of 29 subjects reached the correct conclusion without previous incorrect ones, 13 reached one incorrect conclusion, nine reached two or more incorrect conclusions, and one reached no conclusion. The results showed that those subjects, who reached two or more incorrect conclusions, were unable, or unwilling to test their hypotheses. The implications are discussed in relation to scientific thinking.
- QUOTE: This investigation examines the extent to which intelligent young adults seek (i) confirming evidence alone (enumerative induction) or (ii) confirming and discontinuing evidence (eliminative induction), in order to draw conclusions in a simple conceptual task. The experiment is designed so that use of confirming evidence alone will almost certainly lead to erroneous conclusions because (i) the correct concept is entailed by many more obvious ones, and (ii) the universe of possible instances (numbers) is infinite.