Time-Series Numeric Prediction Task

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A Time-Series Numeric Prediction Task is a sequential data point estimation task that is a temporal prediction task.



References

2020

  • (Wikipedia, 2020) ⇒ https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Forecasting Retrieved:2020-4-28.
    • Forecasting is the process of making predictions of the future based on past and present data and most commonly by analysis of trends. A commonplace example might be estimation of some variable of interest at some specified future date. Prediction is a similar, but more general term. Both might refer to formal statistical methods employing time series, cross-sectional or longitudinal data, or alternatively to less formal judgmental methods. Usage can differ between areas of application: for example, in hydrology the terms "forecast" and "forecasting" are sometimes reserved for estimates of values at certain specific future times, while the term "prediction" is used for more general estimates, such as the number of times floods will occur over a long period.

      Risk and uncertainty are central to forecasting and prediction; it is generally considered good practice to indicate the degree of uncertainty attaching to forecasts. In any case, the data must be up to date in order for the forecast to be as accurate as possible. In some cases the data used to predict the variable of interest is itself forecast.

2016

2013a

2008a

2008b

2006a

2006b

1993

  • (Murphy, 1993) ⇒ Allan H. Murphy. (1993). “What is a Good Forecast? An essay on the nature of goodness in weather forecasting.” In: Weather and Forecasting, 8(2). 1993)008<0281:WIAGFA>2.0.CO;2 doi:10.1175/1520-0434(1993)008<0281:WIAGFA>2.0.CO;2